Fri p.m.

(Booth 12)  We put snow in the forecast yesterday but decided to go with a rain/sleet mix this afternoon since morning temps were breaking the mid 30s. Dewpoints were still in the low 20s, which was a concern, but there was time to remedy this. Then we started snow for the airport aft 01z, accum around an inch. The NWS is more enthusiastic but we decided not to rubber band the forecast. I say we, since the 3rd floor dolt du jour punted the forecast upstairs. My initial inclination was to ask him to go home and not return but cooler heads won that argument. 

So we are 39/27 at 3pm, radar shows a mass of what is probably rain/sleet/freezing rain in eastern Arkansas, coming toward us. The precip will probably cool us to freezing shortly after dark and then the fun begins. Still doesn't look like a major deal. Especially when the ensembles are painting a gloomy picture for Wednesday. Multiple inches, it appears, then the coldest air of the season. We are the atmosphere's bitch for the foreseeable future. The Ft Useless sort may resume someday.

Verdict: It sprinkled on me on the way from the Y to booth 12, so I expect further cooling in the low levels and we will transit from liquid to freezing to frozen. But I will defy NWS and stick to 1 single inch of snow by morning. But that could be the Dogfish Head talking. The primary question is: will Suzie make it home in a timely fashion from Kansas tonight? That's beyond the realm of holistic and cognitive meteorology. Dang.