Noise

November 29th, finally

The secondary severe weather season I have always remembered has arrived. A stationary front along l-20 is coming north and the trough is coming east. Favored area at midday is from around Grenada and Winona northeastward to Corinth and Tupelo.

The biggest downer for all this is the 4:48pm sunset. Most areas around central Mississippi are heavily treed but the northeast is workable in places. Going solo doesn't appeal to me either.

The composite parameters are pretty good. EHI reaches 2 all the way to southwest Tennessee. Most of the hi-res models send the small-scale low either over or just south of MEM, so it seems that the best conditions will be south of this burg. 850mb winds are good here but veered after 00z. They are really good over northern Mississippi through evening. I think someone's going to get hurt tonight from something that develops along the front.