A cause for celebration.
I like consistency in my computer model output. It would be nice if they all agreed with each other, but at least the nam and gas are sticking with their earlier opinions. The nam says it is hopeless for any daylight severe Sunday, and the gfs thinks eastern Oklahoma and northeastern Texas will go during the afternoon.
The wave at 500 is still in west Texas at 00z on both models. And each has the jet split along the Kansas/Oklahoma border at 00z. Given the early sunset, though things are improving on that matter, I will probably sit this one out. Even if something fires during daylight it will soon be in the woods.
Which brings us forward to what's already happened. The SPC log has 22 tornado reports from Thursday, 21 after sunset. Some had real damage associated with them. Bad timing for people who didn't want a tornado and for those who did. Tombstones were pulled out of the cemetery near Parsons, Tennessee. Hmmmm…
As for me, I saw snow but not as much as I had expected. The Aviation Weather Conference in Chicago was actually very good. Traffic managers, meteorologists and snow removal experts shared tales of woe and exhilaration. I think everyone felt better after realizing that everybody was suffering through this winter. Lewis University, which I had never heard of, is a big deal in aeronautical education. If I had time I would take advantage of their online courses. As it is I'm happy that I could take advantage of their dining room. Back to the models.